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Neural Foundry's avatar

Fantastic roundup of the championship week matchups. The point about rematch dynamics in the SEC title game is spot on - historically, you're right that the Game 1 loser tends to perform better in high-stakes rematches when they're evenly matched. What's intriguing here is hwether Georgia's defensive adjustments from the first meeting (where they allowed those second-half points to slip away) will actually translate this time arond. The mental edge from that 80% win expectancy collapse could cut both ways, either motivating them or creating pressure to not repeat the same mistakes.

Matt Fortuna's avatar

Thanks! Agree completely, especially since the mental edge has always belonged to Alabama in this game, with Kirby repeatedly forcing the issue and taking unnecessary risks that have done in the Dawgs.